The Centre for Public Policy Studies (CPPS)

Economic Issues

Mid-Term Review of the 9th Malaysia Plan Open Forum Report

Mid-Term Review of the Ninth Malaysia Plan Open Forum Report

Inequality of income distribution as measured through the Gini coefficient has been going down since 2007, said Prof. Dr. Ragayah Haji Mat Zin at the Mid-Term Review (MTR) of the 9th Malaysia Plan (9MP) held at Wawasan Open University on the 24th of April 2008. The event was hosted by the Centre for Public Policy Studies (CPPS) together with Wawasan Open University.

However policies do have to look into how inequality has widened among the Malays, and one plausible example would be through the privatization of projects in favour of the Bumiputera, said Prof. Dr. Ragayah, the principal research fellow of the Institute of Malaysian and International Studies (IKMAS), at the National University of Malaysia.

The manufacturing target for the 9MP is a 6.7% growth rate. While the 8MP manufacturing growth had a 4.1% growth rate. In 2006 it rose to 7.3% and plunged to 3.1% growth rate in 2007. The projected growth rate for 2008 now stands at 3.1%. Such a shift in numbers over 3-4 years has to mean a drastic change in the manufacturing of products and raw materials and the ease it takes to be wiped out of the industry. Then what would be the outcome for such industries and its players?

The oil and gas sector contributes to 46.8% of the 2007 government revenue. When the oil reserves deplete in 18 years, where would the government revenue then come from? Would the government be able to diversify into palm oil or other forms of energy consumption? The public sector spending comprising of consumption & fixed investments in Malaysia in 2006 was a whopping 24% of the GDP, while the government’s spending has increased by 177% in 10 years, stated Tony Pua, of the DAP, Member of Parliament of Petaling Jaya Utara. This shows that our economy is very much a consumer-driven society, encouraging the expenditure of Malaysians to boost the economy. But this starts to become a weak link in the long run, as relying on people to spend money will not always be a good gauge to boost the economy.

In the room of about 90 people, there was a general consensus of wanting the attitudes and mentalities of our Malaysian politicians to change for the betterment of Malaysian society. The Forum very carefully addressed three out of the five thrusts from the 9MP. The first thrust centred on moving the economy up the value chain, while the second thrust addressed the persistent socio-economic inequalities and the third thrust was to find means to strengthen the institutional and implementation capacity.

From East Malaysia, Datuk Tham Nyip Shen and Datuk Wilfred Tangau from the political parties of the Sabah Progressive Party (SAPP) and the United Pasokmomogun Kadazandusun Murut Organisation (UPKO) respectively in Sabah, shared on the economic situation in Sabah and the follow up measures of measuring performance of the 9MP.

Basic education and healthcare is in dire straits in Sabah. Datuk Tham emphasized the growing number of illegal immigrants, increasing the once quiet Sabah which had a population of 653.6 thousand in 1970 and in 2005, the population had risen to 3015.2 thousand, of which 24.8% are non-citizens. Many of these non-citizens are from the Mindanao Island of the Philippines, China and Kalimantan. From the census conducted in 2000, Sabah had the lowest literacy rate for 15-24 year olds, hitting 88%, while the national average is about 95% and above. Datuk Tham highlighted that literacy rate has not improved as many children from the 24.8% of non-citizens are not allowed to enter school as they do not possess a birth certificate. In 2004, the per capita GDP in Sabah was RM 4,868 as compared to the per capita GDP of Selangor at RM 11,978. And a huge 51.3% of Selangor’s GDP was in the manufacturing industry, while Sabah only contributed 10.3% manufacturing to the GDP.

Datuk Tangau talked on proper decision making and participation in the planning process. Firstly it includes the identification of needs, secondly there’s the approval needed from the bodies involved and thirdly, there’s the fulfillment of needs and lastly there’s the monitoring and evaluation of the impact. Yet in the process, how is performance measured? That would be Achilles heel of the process that needs to be carefully watched. Monitoring and evaluation will be done by executive bodies too. The delivery system too has to be equally improved to the rural and urban areas in Sabah.

The special address by Dato’ Dr Lim Keng Yaik tackled the message of social justice to be ensured for all Malaysians. With income inequalities widening in the Malay community, subsidies are enjoyed more by the upper income brackets and not by those who need the subsidies. Low income families living in urban areas are not able to subsist over the increase in food and petrol prices. These people are not in extreme poverty but relative poverty becomes their disability – they are ‘miskin hati’, translated to be poor in heart and spirit due to the insufficient help coming in their direction.

 

One of the issues Dato’ Seri Effendi Norwawi dealt with was how successfully Malaysia deals with its human capital and how it handles competitiveness in economic restructuring. Malaysia ranks relatively low compared to countries like Singapore, Hong Kong and Taiwan on economic competitiveness. Similar points were raised by Dato’ Dr Lim, R. Sivarasa, the Subang PKR MP and Datuk Tangau on meritocracy. This does not necessarily relate to the field of education alone but through the choices of political players to improve policy through governmental ministries, non-governmental organizations and local community. Merit needs to become a culture of choice and not based on political affiliations alone.

 
Ms Fui K. Soong, director of the Institute of Strategic Analysis and Policy Initiatives, ended her presentation on taking charge. Some questions were raised as to which body is now in charge of executing the 9th Malaysia Plan, in light of recent changes. There is a need to clarify this, since there may be confusion amongst Governmental bodies, Parliament, Non-Governmental organizations, state institutions, and others.

Datuk Denison Jayasooria closed the open forum with a summary of the day’s proceedings, giving 12 relevant key points to be taken note of for the Mid-Term Review of the 9MP. 

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The presentation slides for the Mid-Term Review of the 9th Malaysia Plan Open Forum held at Wawasan Open University on the 24th of April can be found below.

Please click on the name of the speaker to view his/hers presentation.

PANEL DISCUSSION ONE:
Economic Competitiveness and Globalisation: Moving up the Value Chain

Y. B. Tony Pua

Ms. Fui K. Soong

PANEL DISCUSSION TWO:
Addressing socio-economic inequalities: Trends in income inequality and distribution

Prof. Dr. Ragayah Haji Mat Zin

Note: An adjustment has been to slide 24, the revised slide now reads; In 2004 they were 11.9% & 2.9 & in 2007 were 7.1% & 2% respectively

Datuk Tham Nyip Shen

PANEL DISCUSSION THREE:
Strengthening Institutional and Implementation Capacities: Transparency & Accountability

Y.B. R. Sivarasa

Datuk Wilfred Madius Tangau

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